Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.963633 1.178663 1.408857 1.671485 1.960788 2.267893 2.616719
2024-10-20 0.639400 0.918104 1.242025 1.637068 2.097431 2.609587 3.215369
2024-10-27 0.546758 0.871320 1.268156 1.770788 2.374286 3.061676 3.890673
2024-11-03 0.469137 0.826692 1.284902 1.884777 2.623235 3.480491 4.530254
2024-11-10 0.411494 0.794815 1.306766 1.995748 2.861097 3.880708 5.143966
2024-11-17 0.364787 0.769246 1.330444 2.104314 3.093110 4.272750 5.748385
2024-11-24 0.306234 0.715738 1.308967 2.148781 3.241291 4.561378 6.228785
2024-12-01 0.246867 0.650028 1.262698 2.154425 3.335988 4.782003 6.626000
2024-12-08 0.181465 0.560275 1.171898 2.092075 3.337451 4.883612 6.876290
2024-12-15 0.129649 0.481341 1.087736 2.031229 3.334876 4.975696 7.111445
2024-12-22 0.093823 0.422944 1.028108 1.999121 3.365564 5.105888 7.390346
2024-12-29 0.074555 0.395057 1.014598 2.031427 3.481146 5.342902 7.801076
2025-01-05 0.052422 0.353960 0.978712 2.034922 3.566017 5.552784 8.195050
2025-01-12 0.032137 0.305679 0.924297 2.007132 3.606664 5.706300 8.520904
2025-01-19 0.030644 0.318247 0.982223 2.153547 3.890951 6.177263 9.247328
2025-01-26 0.027858 0.324885 1.028798 2.282656 4.151956 6.619359 9.939482
2025-02-02 0.024961 0.329743 1.071671 2.406124 4.405623 7.052845 10.622207
2025-02-09 0.022211 0.333891 1.112941 2.527315 4.656773 7.484117 11.303706
2025-02-16 0.015893 0.316802 1.110083 2.576730 4.805353 7.780506 11.814499
2025-02-23 0.009279 0.288937 1.081910 2.583031 4.890933 7.993051 12.218419
2025-03-02 0.003059 0.243723 1.010430 2.513635 4.864115 8.054251 12.427441
2025-03-09 0.000398 0.203717 0.942892 2.445839 4.835999 8.111058 12.628718
2025-03-16 NaN 0.175236 0.896404 2.410025 4.851729 8.223959 12.899498